The Kickstarter Blog: Happy Birthday Kickstarter!

kickstarter:

“Kickstarter is a way to break beyond the traditional methods — loans, investment, industry deals, grants — to discover that we can offer each other value through creation without a middleman dictating the product and terms.”Why Kickstarter? blog post, April 29, 2009

Two years ago today on April 28, 2009, Kickstarter launched. There was no party, little fanfare. Two of the first projects were launched by us. There were blog posts here and there, but for the most part our debut flew below the radar.

Some great early projects brought momentum — Allison Weiss, Kind of Bloop, Designing Obama. Each project seemed to inspire three more. And backing a project was fun. In exchange there were updates from the road, thoughtful rewards, a story to share. Every project was a quest to do something exciting, something meaningful. Everyone got to play a part.

It’s been an amazing beginning. We’ve met so many incredible people, been a part of this. We couldn’t ask for more.

To celebrate our second birthday we’ve decided to open up the vaults. We’ve dug deep into our dashboard to share pretty much every metric from Kickstarter’s first two years. The numbers and charts tell the story far better than we could. We hope you enjoy.

Unless otherwise noted, all data represents activity between April 28, 2009 - April 27, 2011. Charts by Fred Benenson.

Dollars Pledged by Month (April 2009 - March 2011)

First, here’s a chart of total dollars pledged per month. This graph is not cumulative. April (not charted) will be even bigger than March, the last month shown below.

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Projects Launched by Month (April 2009 - March 2011)

The launched projects chart looks pretty similar. More than 2,000 projects launched in March. April will be even bigger.

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Total Dollars Pledged and Collected

Total Dollars Pledged: $53,107,672
Dollars Collected (successful projects): ~$40 million
Dollars Uncollected (unsuccessful projects): ~$7 million
Live Dollars (currently funding projects): ~$6 million
Collection Rate: ~85%

Kickstarter operates on an all-or-nothing funding model where each project’s goal must be reached to be funded. This pie chart is a great window to how this has worked.

Of the $53 million that has been pledged, $40 million has been collected by successfully funded projects and $6 million is still live (meaning pledged to projects that are still funding). The remaining $7 million is the amount of money not collected — pledged to projects that did not meet their funding goals.

Still with us? Of the $47 million pledged to projects whose funding has ended ($40M collected + $7M uncollected), approximately 85% of the funds ($40M) were collected. This 85% collection rate has stayed quite steady over the past two years. It’s safe to expect that 85% of the $6 million that’s currently pledged to live projects will also be collected.

Now here’s a chart of the success rate of Kickstarter projects:

Project Statistics

Launched Projects: 20,371
Successful Projects: 7,496 (43%)
Unsuccessful Projects: 9,700
Live Projects: 3,175

Approximately 43% of Kickstarter projects are successfully funded. The project success rate has held steady between 40-45%. There’s no clear benchmark to judge whether this number is “good” or “bad,” but in the concept stages of Kickstarter we had projected a 5% success rate. We think this is a great sign.

Another thing to note is the difference between the 43% success rate and the 85% pledge collection rate. This means that the overwhelming majority of pledges go to successful projects. Of the projects that do not meet their goal, 21% never receive a single pledge.

What is the tipping point for a project’s funding? With just a single pledge, a project’s chances of success jump to 52%. But at what level of funding is a project overwhelmingly likely to succeed?

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Projects that reach 30% of their funding goal succeed more than 90% of the time. You can see that as the line turns green, the percent of projects that succeed approaches 100%.

Of the 20,000 projects that have launched, only one has been unsuccessful after reaching 90% of its funding goal.

Now let’s look at funding totals by category.

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Film leads the pack with nearly $20 million in pledges and Music follows with more than $13 million. Ten of the 13 categories have seen more than $1 million in pledges.

Dollars Pledged by Category
Art: $3,184,732
Comics: $943,118
Dance: $645,492
Design: $3,601,851
Fashion: $554,048
Film: $19,717,790
Food: $1,583,063
Games: $1,052,557
Music: $13,094,547
Photography: $1,679,361
Publishing: $2,732,501
Technology: $1,748,109
Theater: $2,570,503

Film and Music’s enormous numbers skew this list a bit. More than $2.5 million pledged to Theatre projects, $600,000 to Dance projects, almost $1 million to Comics projects — numbers we’re proud of.

Backer Numbers
Backers: 591,773
Repeat Backers: 79,658

Repeat backers is the number of people who have backed more than one Kickstarter project. This is a key number for us. It’s Kickstarter’s “supply side.” They’re people who don’t just back a friend’s project, they find something else to support. And sometimes fifty other things to support. The Kickstarter staff is a prime example. Collectively we’ve backed 1,590 projects. (Now we know where our paychecks go.)

Conclusion
More than anything we want to say thank you. These first two years have been amazing, and we couldn’t have done it without our incredible team (now 22 strong and packed liked sardines in the Lower East Side), our friends and families, and of course you. We can’t wait to see what the next two years will bring.

XOXO
Team Kickstarter

(Source: kickstarter)

Facebook and Consumer Visualization

The New York Times just announced that Facebook has acquired Daytum.  

To me, this cues a revolution in consumer visualization.  Facebook recognizes that big data isn’t only good for targeted ads, it’s good for showing users more about themselves with beautiful charts and graphs.

As a data visualization geek, I’m excited to see what Nicholas Felton can bring to the Facebook experience.  Felton stretches our idea of how large amounts of data can be communicated succinctly with infographics.  I honestly wish someone like him taught a class at Columbia Business School.  For a primer, check out his Annual Reports.

Social visualization is a glaring omission in Facebook’s current product: how many Likes do I have; how many do my friends have; what kind of articles, videos and websites do I like (by topic).  Facebook has tried this before.  In 2004-2005, Facebook offered a visualization to show how interconnected your network was (it was killed by 2006, I think).  LinkedIn now lets you do something similar.  It’s time to raise the bar.  Since my Facebook “friends” aren’t a true representation of my real-life network, I don’t care who knows who anymore. I care a who likes what.  And more than that, teach me what else I should like based on my mindless ‘liking’ across the web. 

This is strategic.  As Facebook and Twitter start competing for who influences the most behavior, they will need to make their products into better content consumption machines — Visualization is at the very heart of that.

Stay tuned: Apple and the Smart TV market

 

Speculation has been rising over Apple releasing an iTV in the near future (6m-2y).  Will they or won’t they?  Marco Arment recently wrote  ‘I don’t think they’ll ever release a TV’.
 
Marco makes a strong case (as usual), and I suggest reading his whole post. But I fall on the other side, and believe we will see an Apple TV Set in the short/medium-term.
The biggest issue here, in my opinion, is who controls the content?  
 
Who selects the cable channels? Who pays the studios for those channels? Who manages on-demand and premium channels like HBO?  Marco seems to think that it must be Comcast/TWC (based on his questioning over whether Apple would agree to integrate with a Comcast’s Scientific Atlanta HD DVR).
 
The only way Apple enters the Smart Television Set business is if it controls the entire content delivery experience
You cannot view the Apple TV within the paradigm of commoditized Vizio/Samsung/Sharp flat panel sets.  Those are dumb screens.  They said it would never happen with Mobile Operators, who historically controlled the entire ecosystem (i.e., content delivery, applications, UI, on-device purchases), and we all know how that turned out.  Apple’s iOS controls everything but the data pipes. In TV-land, the pipes and the content are now “inextricably” wedded, but there’s a way to sever that bond.
 
To be clear, this is very tricky — but not impossible.
First, Apple would need to strike transformative deals with content providers (NBC-Universal, Disney, CBS, FOX, HBO, et al.), to let Apple create its own cable programming.
Second, Apple would need to navigate relationships with Comcast, Time Warner, and especially Verizon. While their buy-in may not be technically necessary, these players will do everything they can to avoid becoming dumb pipes.
Third, Apple would then need to create a new content purchasing experience, which could include:
  • per-channel subscription (e.g., HBO, NBC, ESPN for me, thanks)
  • per-show subscription (e.g., Mad Men, 30 Rock)
  • a la cart 24-hr viewings; good old fashioned bundling (all Disney channels; or just all channels).  
If you’re Apple, why bother? The size of the Living Room market — viewed holistically — cannot be overstated. It is the single most important distribution channel for premium content; when you look beyond cable, and include TV Sets, Video Games, DVD’s, Hardware, Peripherals, Music, the Living Room starts to look like one of the few ways Apple can sustain growth.  For example, imagine Apple’s game platform not just stealing share from Nintendo DS and PSP, but Wii and Playstation. Someone at Apple is wondering how it gets revenues from $100B/year (projected 2011) to $300B/year, if only as a defensive measure against other large Internet companies swimming in the same waters.
Stay tuned.
When we started, we thought we were looking for smart people, but it turned out that intelligence was not as important as we expected. If you imagine someone with 100 percent determination and 100 percent intelligence, you can discard a lot of intelligence before they stop succeeding. But if you start discarding determination, you very quickly get an ineffectual and perpetual grad student.

- Paul Graham - Money Man - Entrepreneur.com (via bijan)

‘I love the ability to communicate an object or concept with a simple, one-color pictogram across all languages.’ - Mari Shiebley, Lead Designer @ Foursquare

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Forbes.com did a great interview with Mari in July 2010. Here’s some of her work:

Iconography

Test

The James Franco Project [New York Magazine]

instapaperstories:

Read More

So much respect.

Thanks for all the unity

Tonight was a colossal tactical error on Obama’s part.  There was a clear lack of editorial control over Hillary’s martyr-making bio pic and the content of her speech.  Hillary had no interest in truly mobilizing her die-hards for Obama; she only sought to remind her 17 million voters what they’re missing out on. 

This was a concession speech of the worst kind: winking and nodding to the hillraisers that she’s no happier about this than they are.  The speech was self-pitying, self-congratulating, misogyny-obsessed and calibrated to maximize buyer’s remorse.

(She mentioned her support in the first 30 seconds, then didn’t mention Obama’s name for near 15 minutes)

Hillary has clearly made the calculation that:

  1. People are going to blame her for Obama’s loss no matter what, and in spite of that…
  2. If Obama loses, Hillary is still the undeniable frontrunner for 2012.  She will get to start campaigning again in 2010, just two short years.

If you’re gonna slay the dragon, make sure you really slay the dragon…

rach:

teachmecoyness:

Sand: Memory, Meaning and Metaphor - The New York Times
Richard Ehrlich’s large, color photographs of old, empty rooms overflowing with sand suggest ephemerality from a broader historical perspective. They look like staged fantasies, but they document an abandoned diamond-mining town in what is now Namibia.

Thanks for this.

Gorgeous.

rach:

teachmecoyness:

Sand: Memory, Meaning and Metaphor - The New York Times

Richard Ehrlich’s large, color photographs of old, empty rooms overflowing with sand suggest ephemerality from a broader historical perspective. They look like staged fantasies, but they document an abandoned diamond-mining town in what is now Namibia.

Thanks for this.

Gorgeous.

Megapixels: size no longer matters